Here's how it works. We throw some intriguing matchups at the FanHouse staff and ask whether each player will be over or under a certain point total. The result? Fantasy Football Over/Under. Makes sense, right?Last week, you may have had difficulty choosing between the waiver-wire combination of Jason Snelling, Bernard Scott and Justin Forsett for your RB2 or FLEX role. Out of the five of us, four thought Snelling would be over the RB2 benchmark, while Scott garnered three over votes and Forsett just two.
I bring this up because it seems we were spot on in our combined optimism for each running back. Snelling was the best of the bunch, with 89 yards and two TDs to his credit. Scott scored 15.1 points on 151 yards, while Forsett managed 89 yards and one TD. Can we be this accurate again? Let's find out ...
Normal scoring (passing 20/4, rushing/receiving 10/6) applies. Benchmarks:
QB - 18 points (200 yards passing, 2 TDs; 220 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT, etc)
RB1 - 16 points (100 yards and 1 TD)
RB2 - 10 points (100 yards, zero TDs; 40 yards, 1 TD)
WR1 - 14 points (80 yards and 1 TD)
WR2 - 10 points (100 yards, zero TDs; 40 yards, 1 TD)
WR3 - 8 points (80 yards, zero TDs; 20 yards, 1 TD)
FLEX - 6 points (60 yards or a TD)
TE - 6 points (60 yards or a TD)
| Position |
Player | Matchup | R.J. | Ryan | Knox | Tom |
| QB |
P.Manning | at HOU | Over | Over | Under | Over |
| QB | Favre | vs. CHI | Over | Over | Over | Under |
| QB | Palmer | vs. CLE | Over | Under | Over | Over |
| QB | Warner | at TEN | Over | Under | Under | Under |
| QB | Ryan | vs. TB | Under | Under | Over | Over |
| QB | A.Smith | vs. JAC | Under | Under | Under | Under |
| RB1 |
C.Johnson | vs. ARI | Over | Over | Under | Over |
| RB1 | R.Williams | at BUF | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| RB1 | T.Jones | vs. CAR | Over | Over | Under | Under |
| RB2 |
Cartwright | at PHI | Under | Under | Under | Over |
| RB2 | Tomlinson | vs. KC | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| RB2 | McCoy | vs. WAS | Under | Over | Over | Under |
| RB2 | Charles | at SD | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| RB2 | Slaton | vs. IND | Under | Under | Under | Under |
| RB2 | Wells | at TEN | Under | Under | Under | Under |
| WR1 |
A.Johnson | vs. IND | Over | Under | Over | Over |
| WR1 |
V.Jackson | vs. KC | Over | Over | Under | Under |
| WR1 |
Wayne | at HOU | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| WR1 |
Rice | vs. CHI | Under | Under | Under | Over |
| WR2 |
Sims-Walker | at SF | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| WR2 | Crabtree | vs. JAC | Over | Over | Under | Over |
| WR2 | Houshman | at STL | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| WR2 | Chambers | at SD | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| WR2 | Smith (CAR) | at NYJ | Under | Over | Under | Over |
| WR3 |
Garcon | at HOU | Under | Under | Under | Over |
| WR3 | Meachem | vs. NE | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| WR3 | Cotchery | vs. CAR | Under | Over | Over | Over |
| WR3 | Maclin | vs. WAS | Under | Under | Over | Over |
| WR3 | Avery | vs. SEA | Over | Over | Under | Under |
| WR3 | Bryant | vs. ATL | Under | Under | Under | Under |
| FLEX | Stewart | at NYJ | Under | Under | Over | Over |
| FLEX | Bell | vs. NE | Over | Under | Under | Under |
| FLEX | Forsett | at STL | Under | Over | Over | Over |
| FLEX | Graham | vs. ATL | Over | Under | Under | Over |
| FLEX | Knox | at MIN | Over | Under | Under | Under |
| FLEX | Gibson | vs. SEA | Under | Under | Over | Over |
| FLEX | Massaquoi | at CIN | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| FLEX | Floyd | vs. KC | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| TE | Olsen | at MIN | Under | Under | Under | Over |
| TE | H.Miller | at BAL | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| TE | Carlson | at STL | Under | Over | Over | Under |
| TE | Shockey | vs. NE | Over | Under | Under | Under |
| TE | F.Davis | at PHI | Over | Over | Under | Under |
• I threw Alex Smith in with some of fantasy football's top QBs, thinking at least one of our guys would love the Jacksonville matchup to call Smith an "over" this week. Sadly, this is not the case, as we all cast our vote in the opposite direction for Smith. Only I think Kurt Warner will be over the QB1 mark again this week -- but in my leagues where I have Warner, I'm playing Brett Favre instead.
• Jamaal Charles's Chiefs and LaDainian Tomlinson's Chargers are squaring off this Sunday, and we apparently expect there to be a lot of play calls for each running back, as we like unanimously like both as "overs" this week. We also could agree that Steve Slaton and Beanie Wells will fall short of RB2 status, which is a little bit surprising in each case. Slaton has regained the RB1 role in Houston, and Wells has been tearing up the fantasy leagues in the second half.
• All aboard the MSW express! We're in agreement that Mike Sims-Walker will throw up WR2 numbers at the very least -- start him in all your leagues. We also agree that T.J. Houshmandzadeh will have a big day against the Rams. It might have taken over half the season, but he seems to have surpassed Nate Burleson as the WR1 in Seattle. We're split 50-50 on Steve Smith circa Carolina, but I wouldn't get your hopes up for a big day; shutdown cornerback Darrell Revis should blanket Smith all day long.
• We're all over the board for this week's flex plays, with the exception of Malcom Floyd. You would think that since hasn't reached the eight-point flex benchmark all season, this would mean we're unanimously against the Charger WR. Well, you'd be wrong. For some reason, we all have a good feeling about Floyd's matchup against the Chiefs, and we expect him to have his best game of the season in Week 12.
• None of this crop of tight ends could find their way to more than a 50-50 split in the "over" category, so it may be best to avoid this group all together. I think Fred Davis is a sneaky play, given his matchup and the fact that Jason Campbell should have trouble beating the Philly secondary.
